Friday, 26 August 2011

Sunderland Betting

The natives are starting to get restless: 1 point from the first two games isn't too bad but that combined with the Shrewsbury result and lack of goals and some people are starting to get twitchy.

It's been a long time since we've not expected to be in the top half of the table but the fact is Wigan stayed up last season with only 9 wins (their 15 draws helping to keep them up) so those days of coming away with 3 points are likely to be few and far between.

Sunderland come in to the game in a similar situation but with a greater weight of expectation, so it could well be that like Wigan they'd be happy with a point with the hope of maybe sneaking a victory.

With that in mind a repeat of last week's 0-0 doesn't seem that unlikely. This is available at a best price of 8-1 at a number of bookmakers.

This highlights one of the first things you should know when betting: if you can get the same (or actually in this case a better) price go for No Goalscorer rather than 0-0. This is because No Goalscorer covers you for both 0-0 and also any instances where the only goals scored are from own goals.

For some reason Stan James are offering 10-1 on No Goalscorer but only 8-1 on 0-0, this highlights the value that can be had when searching around for bets that cover roughly the same areas (another option would be using a combination of Asian Handicap and straight with betting e.g., where you get better value for Swansea +0.25 goals than the odds for a Swansea win or a Draw.

Generally speaking, the more possible outcomes to bet on, the greater the margin a bookie will make on a market. Where there are only 2-3 outcomes the margin will be relatively small. Where there are numerous possible outcomes the margin can be far greater.

An example of this is the First Goalscorer market, which is more to make watching a match a bit more fun than a great option on which to bet. I like Craig Beattie but it's nuts that he's practically the same odds as Scott Sinclair to score first (you can get 7-1 on Scott and 15/2 on Craig).

Saying all that 40-1 for Steven Caulker (multiple Bookmakers) does seem tempting, especially given Agustien's excellent dead ball delivery.