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Monday, 23 February 2015

Swans 2 - Man Utd 1 Stats and Chalkboards

They might not be the force they once were, but a league double over Manchester United is still a pretty impressive feat.  Van Gaal's moaning about luck is a sign that he doesn't want anyone to go over in too much detail how they played, especially after going 2-1 down.

He has a small case to say that they were unfortunate in that they had plenty of the ball (Swansea's 35% possession must be close to a record low at the Liberty) and had a flurry of attempts in a 15 minute period early on in the second half.
Swansea's 2 shots in the 73rd minute are technically the same event in that Gomis is judged to have scored with his deflected effort coming as a result of Shelvey's shot.  Gomis might be a bit lucky to get the credit for this one but was largely responsible for the goal v West Ham that went down as an OG. 
As with the Southampton game, there's an element of fortune in a goal from a long range shot, but that is turned into a win as a result of hard work and defensive organisation throughout the match. Despite the number of extra shots from Manchester United, in terms of quality of chance that was far more even.

When looking at passing volumes, this shows a similar story to the shot activity, with Swansea rarely averaging more than 4 passes a minute as they rarely built up any control with the ball but even before the winner, it felt like a goal was more likely from a Swansea counter-attack than Man Utd's possession.

Being mainly composed of elbows and hair, Fellaini is not the kind of guy who can be inconspicuous. Sometime's 'stick it long to the big guy' is a valid tactic but even this didn't seem to be particularly well executed, partly due to the presence of Fabianski who is far more dominating in his box than Vorm ever was.

I was surprised when going back over the stats that Fellaini only had 6 aerial duels, which show how often he was allowed to win the ball to enable any Swansea defender to compete for any knock down rather than getting involved in a duel, losing it and then being temporarily out of the game (this is similar to tactics applied to the likes of Crouch and Andy Carrol in the past).
Fellaini with 6 fouls, double that of the next player and as many as the whole Swansea team.  Fellaini with 60 passes received, 10 more than Rooney and plenty of them as a result of a long pass.
If time allowed, a more detailed look at the lineup with only 1 recognised winger would be interesting, there's was talk that Monk had a plan and it certainly seemed a well thought out selection and strategy.  With another top flight season all but guaranteed, it'll be interesting to see how much experimentation there is between now and the end of the season.  Without wanting to wish the season away, to some extent pre-season for 2015/16 has already begun.

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Match Stats: Created using Statszone , Whoscored  and Squawka