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Friday, 16 September 2011

West Brom Betting

Tomorrow's game against West Brom has a strange feel about it. After the good performance against Arsenal (but no goals) we come against a team in West Brom that can be almost anything it wants to be: Top 10 side, mid-table plodders or relegation battlers.

The Top 6 is pretty much defined before the season starts but outside of that the right mixture of talent and hard work can make the difference between 7th and 15th. I expect the 3 promoted sides to be in the bottom 5 or 6 along with Blackburn and Wigan with maybe 1 or 2 'bigger' clubs such as Sunderland possibly falling in to disarray.

To some extent games such as the one tomorrow will probably be quite indicative of the season to come for both sides, West Brom having won away at Norwich last week will be looking to do the same this week and start to focus up rather than down the table.

For Swansea, it's more a case of focusing on that mini-league at the bottom and as such I see us being more risk taking against West Brom than the previous two home games as this is less of a '6-pointer' than those games. It's not a case of going all out attack but if we go for it but lose, it's not as big a blow as seeing the likes of Wigan come to the Liberty and win.

One of the reasons I've got this far without actually mentioning odds is that neither I nor the bookies have a clue what's going to happen in this game.

Best odds as at Friday evening on Oddschecker are:

Swansea Win - 9/5 (35.7%)
Draw - 23/10 (30.3%)
West Brom Win - 9/5 (35.7%)

Combined odds add up to 101.7% so low overall margin suggests a range of opinions from the bookies and no clear favourite.

For First Goalscorer you can get worse (lower) odds on Tate (40/1) Caulker (40/1) and Agustien (25/1) all of who are mid-long term injured than you can for Bessone (best priced 50/1).

Judging by some of the comments on the message boards there are a few people who would agree that Tate with half his body in plaster is still a better option than Bessone!

In terms of value, Rangel at 50/1 with Ladbrokes sounds like a good bet.

Next Week - West Brom Chalkboards
Twitter: @We_R_PL